Previsioni ed analisi

Friday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) number was unexpectedly strong and caused markets to fall dramatically as inflation (and stagflation) fears moved once again to the front of investors’ minds. In addition, the European Central Bank (ECB) has finally joined the hawkish club, which re-priced European bonds dramatically this week. Subsequent pronouncements of a 25bps hike in July seem to put the ECB behind the curve and Bunds have sold off in response.

As more digital services are developed and offered, and as the platform’s users become more tied in, this creates a virtuous circle, creating significant opportunities for platform companies to grow. They can transform entire industries and scale vertically and horizontally by improving existing services or entering new service areas. More crucially, in the last couple of years, platform companies have helped reshape the global economy and changed how we collectively work and live.

Time for my latest missive, and yes you guessed it, more debate around inflation, interest rates and recession. Treasuries have rallied, with risk selling off over the last week or so, but at least for Fixed Income, we seem to be stuck in a bit of a range as we wait for more data on growth and inflation. It looks like the ECB is now going to raise rates, and we are still expecting 2x50bps from the Federal Reserve over the next 2 meetings.

Traditionally, when there is a focus on increasing inflation and rising rates, these developments are often followed by more robust nominal economic growth. This has generally been supportive for small-cap companies. However, there are more fundamental reasons that make small and-mid cap equities an attractive asset class for investors seeking to maximise their risk and return profile from their European equity allocations.

The central concept of transformation in Global Emerging Markets is providing positive tailwinds for companies in a range of sectors. Our Global Emerging Markets Equities explores some of these transformational themes in more detail.

In the US, the number of people aged 26-41 has exceeded 72 million, surpassing ‘baby boomers’ as the largest cohort of the population. Millennials will account for 75% of the global workforce by 2025 and their combined income will hit $8.3 trillion by 2025

On a recent trip into London, shops continue to be busy and a visit to the Nike store on Oxford Street was a nightmare, given it was so full the staff couldn’t cope. This seems to fly in the face of the dire warnings of a consumer having to decide between food and heat.

We have reclassified our “Renewables” theme to “Decarbonisation”. Renewables are a key piece of the puzzle in the transition to carbon neutrality, but alongside this there are other key areas of the transition, which will represent a significant tailwind for those companies exposed to them.

Today, we’ll be focused predominantly on inflation and the central banks’ reaction function. First, let’s not forget that the COVID response resulted in huge debt burdens for most countries. This will be an important part of the discussion by central banks given the consequences for balance sheet financing of a too aggressive approach to fighting inflation. 

With new waves of regulation coming through and stakeholder pressure building around climate change, temperature alignment and long-term business strategies to address these issues remain leading priorities for investors. The COP26 summit reaffirmed how much reducing greenhouse gas emissions is pivotal to keep temperature increases below 2°C.

We entered 2022 expecting some headwinds around inflation, a few interest rate rises in the US, and slowly easing supply chain blockages. And COVID would be a distant memory….or at least endemic. I often sit here as an apologist for Fixed Income (it is my job after all!) given the low and/or negative yields on offer, but despite the headwinds of inflation and slowing economic activity, I believe we are beginning to see the resurgence of the next Fixed Income mini cycle. Whether it is duration or credit is too early to tell at this point.

Mirabaud Asset Management is proud to join the Net Zero Asset Managers Initiative, committing to support the goal of net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 or sooner. As signatories to the initiative, we also commit to set interim targets consistent with a fair share of the 50% global reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030.

Mirabaud Asset Management’s Valentin Bissat selects the charts that tell the story of a dramatic year on the markets

Mirabaud’s Lifestyle, Impact and Innovation private equity fund invests in disruptive young businesses destined to be the lifestyle leaders of tomorrow. As we start thinking about the shape the global economy will take after the pandemic, now is the perfect time to consider which shifts in consumer behaviour will prove transitory – and which will stick. Long Zhou takes the temperature of the premium lifestyle sector in a post-pandemic world.

Last week the UN Climate Change Conference (COP26) came to its climax. To mark the event, Sustainable Global Equities Research Analyst John Kisenyi has put together a four-part series of articles where he considers where the conference’s agenda intersects with ESG investing, and explores the risks and opportunities investors face as they engage with stakeholders on the journey to a more sustainable posture.

Last week the UN Climate Change Conference (COP26) came to its climax. To mark the event, Sustainable Global Equities Research Analyst John Kisenyi has put together a series of four articles where he considers where the conference’s agenda intersects with ESG investing, and explores the risks and opportunities investors face as they engage with stakeholders on the journey to a more sustainable posture.

The world’s attention remains on Glasgow for the ongoing UN Climate Change Conference (COP26). To mark the event, Sustainable Global Equities Research Analyst John Kisenyi has put together a four-part series of articles where he considers key parts of the conference’s agenda, and explores the risks and opportunities investors face in meeting the climate challenge. In this article, he assesses where the risks and opportunities lie around the most fundamental material of all: water.

This week, the world’s attention falls on Glasgow for the UN Climate Change Conference (COP26). To mark the event, Sustainable Global Equities Analyst John Kisenyi has put together a four-part series of articles that consider key parts of the conference’s agenda, and explore the risks and opportunities investors face in meeting the climate challenge. Here he offers his analysis of where renewable energy fits into the picture, as well as case studies and examples of successful engagement processes.

As the UK prepares to host the COP 26 UN conference on climate change, Mirabaud Asset Management’s Head of UK Equities David Kneale reviews the additional measures investors must take to integrate the challenges of climate change.

Mirabaud Asset Management’s Head of Fixed Income Andrew Lake gives his review of the situation as we head into the fourth quarter