Views and Analysis

All eyes on recession risks

On a recent trip into London, shops continue to be busy and a visit to the Nike store on Oxford Street was a nightmare, given it was so full the staff couldn’t cope. This seems to fly in the face of the dire warnings of a consumer having to decide between food and heat.

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Views and Analysis

Coordinated demand destruction

Today, we’ll be focused predominantly on inflation and the central banks’ reaction function. First, let’s not forget that the COVID response resulted in huge debt burdens for most countries. This will be an important part of the discussion by central banks given the consequences for balance sheet financing of a too aggressive approach to fighting inflation. 

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Views and Analysis

What’s up with inflation and are we entering a new fixed income mini cycle

We entered 2022 expecting some headwinds around inflation, a few interest rate rises in the US, and slowly easing supply chain blockages. And COVID would be a distant memory….or at least endemic. I often sit here as an apologist for Fixed Income (it is my job after all!) given the low and/or negative yields on offer, but despite the headwinds of inflation and slowing economic activity, I believe we are beginning to see the resurgence of the next Fixed Income mini cycle. Whether it is duration or credit is too early to tell at this point.

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Views and Analysis

Do markets face an autumn surprise?

Mirabaud Asset Management’s Head of Fixed Income Andrew Lake gives his review of the situation as we head into the fourth quarter

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Views and Analysis

As the IPCC publishes gloomy report, this is the route to net zero

Rain in London in August, wildfires in Greece and Italy, floods in Bangladesh: can anyone still really deny that global warming is at a crisis point? The role of human influence on the climate system is undisputed. That’s the stark message from the IPCC report on climate change published earlier this week.

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Views and Analysis

EasyJet: a Global Climate Bond framework case study

Examining how Mirabaud Asset Management’s Climate Bond team evaluates bond issuers’ climate policies

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Views and Analysis

The Global Climate Bond Framework - Case Study

The Global Climate Bond team use a framework to identify those issuers that have clear goals in reducing their greenhouse gas emissions in line with the targets set out in the Paris Agreement. Our focus is to seek issuers that can make significant reductions to the emissions they produce, which means we invest in some of the higher-emitting sectors. Engagement then becomes key.

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Views and Analysis

What’s happening with US Treasuries?

Andrew Lake, Head of Fixed Income, focuses on the moves in the US Treasury market

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Views and Analysis

Halfway Point 2021, it is a good time to take stock

We have reached the halfway point of 2021, and it is a good time to take stock of where we are and where we might be going. As the recently departed Donald Rumsfeld said “there are known unknowns and also unknown unknowns”.

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Views and Analysis

Mirabaud Convertible Bonds Europe Fund has a fully integrated ESG approach

The Mirabaud Convertible Bonds Europe Fund has a fully integrated ESG approach as part of its process. It has recently been awarded the SRI label by the French Ministry of Finance. Despite some recent headwinds, especially in areas like the ‘stay at home’ names, a number of positive factors still remain to make the European Convertibles asset class an opportunity for investors seeking to diversify risk.

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Views and Analysis

Dealing with decarbonisation

Global greenhouse gas emissions continued to grow for the third consecutive year in 2019, reaching a record high of 52.4 GtCO2e[1]

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Views and Analysis

Investors are increasingly looking to support global climate action

Investors are increasingly looking to support global climate action through their bond allocations, but there are several routes to choose - green bonds, hybrid climate portfolios or pure traditional bond strategies.

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Views and Analysis

The importance of developing a strong engagement framework for transitional bond issuers that are high carbon emitters.

“We must now agree on a binding review mechanism under international law, so that this century can credibly be called a century of decarbonisation” – Angela Merkel

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Views and Analysis

The Great Energy Transition: Moving to a carbon-neutral future

The energy transition is the pathway towards transformation from fossil-based to renewable, zero-carbon energy sources in order to meet the 2015 Paris Agreement and Government targets by 2050. At its heart is the need to reduce energy-related CO2 emissions to limit climate change.

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Views and Analysis

Sell in May

It has been a while since my last missive. I must admit, I left it for a few weeks, hoping that there would be some eventful news to comment on. The logical move would have been for investors to take profits after a very strong Q1, feeling full of self-congratulation that the market was over-extended, in bubble territory and due a nice pullback.

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Views and Analysis

All Change

Vaccinations and the pandemic are still taking different paths globally, leading to ongoing change but economic recovery remains. Andrew Lake explains why earnings and the broader vaccination outlook will be key to the sustainability of the recovery story.

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Views and Analysis

Accessing the climate transition opportunity

What does this really mean for both investors and their clients? How motivated are investors to choose investments for the truly long term and the more holistic outcome of climate reduction, de-carbonisation and ultimately sustainable ESG policies?

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Views and Analysis

Inflation and how to deal with it.

Inflation and how to deal with it. Andrew Lake looks at the possible inflation scenarios and the concept of ‘good’ inflation.

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Views and Analysis

Staying in focus

Euphoria in global fixed income markets one minute to gloom the next! Should we be worried? Read Andrew Lake’s latest insight here

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Views and Analysis

Which direction?

Much like the container ship in the Suez Canal, the financial markets – for the most part – have been fairly immovable of late both in the face of several conflicting themes – hope, better data, a “third wave” of the virus in Europe and a fairly haphazard global campaign of vaccination. The likelihood is that the second quarter will be much more positive for a number of reasons. Andrew Lake explains more.

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Contributors

Author

Andrew Lake

Head of Global Fixed Income, with 25 years’ experience in navigating fixed income markets

Author

Fatima Luis

Senior portfolio manager with over 25 years of experience in fixed income, including high yield and strategic bond strategies

Author

Daniel Moreno

Head of Emerging Market Debt, with over 21 years’ experience in this asset class and a specialist in managing blended Emerging Market Debt strategies

Author

Puneet Singh

Senior portfolio manager, with over 14 years’ experience in financial markets and a specialist in Emerging Market Debt